Why waist circumference beats BMI
The BMI treats every patient with the same weight as equally risky — but a kilogram of visceral abdominal fat is not equivalent to a kilogram of muscle or peripheral subcutaneous fat. Visceral fat is metabolically active: drains directly to the portal system, saturates the liver with free fatty acids, produces pro-inflammatory cytokines (IL-6, TNF-α), and altered adipokines (high leptin, low adiponectin). It is an aggressor endocrine organ.
Waist circumference (>102 cm men, >88 cm women per ATP-III) is a predictor independent of BMI for T2D, CV events, and mortality (Despres 2012 Circulation). That is why longevity medicine measures body composition with DEXA when applicable, waist circumference systematically, and waist-hip ratio — not just BMI. Without that reading, the risk in borderline-BMI patients remains invisible.
A "normal" BMI with increased waist circumference is the TOFI scenario — the most underdiagnosed epidemiological trap of the cluster.